Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 94658.257936 99789.950795 104916.138697 110417.587635 116151.074516 121946.704353 128244.386866
2025-06-08 85523.999019 93339.201817 101361.191770 110200.236336 119655.344123 129455.383094 140369.860023
2025-06-15 80277.612931 90034.102510 100263.938485 111767.756303 124321.272643 137581.942735 152625.832164
2025-06-22 75818.877619 87012.148213 98959.929707 112625.569176 127785.756125 144050.615727 162781.610101
2025-06-29 71705.845650 83986.729274 97303.659391 112763.413101 130161.291341 149078.971204 171147.309769
2025-07-06 68149.236823 81311.598877 95789.202613 112822.311931 132237.339564 153601.083063 178807.497552
2025-07-13 66184.191433 80278.988658 95979.511901 114670.312024 136215.056822 160169.720906 188713.160061
2025-07-20 64298.293804 79202.797724 96002.213218 116220.922102 139769.242321 166202.429643 197984.416772
2025-07-27 62237.317548 77801.931116 95543.669927 117118.917642 142493.727463 171233.479050 206081.512523
2025-08-03 59904.662115 75966.373379 94475.339287 117209.773495 144199.844615 175032.092124 212719.040858
2025-08-10 57932.082628 74470.662585 93726.764651 117602.793757 146198.643093 179127.825441 219680.212811
2025-08-17 55972.791789 72907.791532 92823.299437 117742.161111 147840.050841 182765.167873 226083.277733
2025-08-24 54702.187221 72161.187181 92890.159188 119052.383376 150906.487004 188138.178809 234628.756630
2025-08-31 52695.280050 70433.972162 91704.549361 118791.069402 152043.320258 191198.347324 240427.119538
2025-09-07 51778.847234 70029.767650 92109.145650 120450.049746 155497.414053 197037.583102 249581.946443
2025-09-14 50558.832267 69192.497939 91935.331749 121359.973639 158012.456097 201737.756227 257377.117273
2025-09-21 49047.807685 67929.892766 91182.250069 121506.076178 159553.511325 205237.196572 263714.230842
2025-09-28 47582.371923 66676.169320 90395.329139 121568.575368 160958.452455 208551.091446 269821.708762
2025-10-05 47063.054638 66629.735481 91122.887392 123531.915586 164735.287512 214790.326296 279551.410660
2025-10-12 46434.554660 66413.444129 91612.561883 125179.040488 168112.223069 220547.459234 288718.136321
2025-10-19 45537.353836 65809.946395 91576.951145 126132.818328 170601.719589 225205.046386 296541.671406
2025-10-26 44317.343747 64737.775769 90899.416217 126229.313314 171979.206106 228464.697577 302628.371532
2025-11-02 43287.162523 63890.163302 90487.832727 126646.718351 173750.450497 232212.538094 309335.429137